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Asia markets today: the yen strengthened Friday as Tokyo inflation data exceeded estimates, Asian stocks fluctuated.


Declines in Japanese Shares


The yen strengthened to its highest level in over a month against the US dollar, surpassing the 150 mark. The dollar weakened against other major currencies, with the dollar index set for its first weekly decline in two months. Treasury yields also fell as cash trading resumed in Asia.

These movements highlighted a subdued risk appetite in global markets during a week typically characterized by lower trading volumes due to the US holiday. Additionally, month-end positioning may lead some investors to rebalance their portfolios following a record high in American stocks this week, with US equity futures rising in Asia.

The yen's appreciation was bolstered by Tokyo's inflation data, which revealed a larger-than-expected increase in prices on a headline basis, although the numbers aligned with estimates when excluding fresh food and energy. Market pricing for swaps indicates a greater than 60% probability that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates at its next meeting.

“The CPI report will likely reinforce the BOJ’s belief that inflation momentum is building, making its 2% target appear increasingly secure,” noted Taro Kimura, an economist at Bloomberg Economics.

Additionally, Japan may postpone any decision regarding tax increases to address rising defense spending, according to a senior official in the ruling coalition.


South Korea Faces Largest Drop Post Rate Cut


South Korea experienced the steepest decline in stock prices following an unexpected interest rate cut by the central bank. This move has shifted investor focus to concerns about slowing economic growth in the region. While shares in Australia and Japan also fell, South Korea's market felt the most significant impact. In contrast, mainland China saw a rise in stock prices, suggesting a divergence in regional trends.

The MSCI regional equity index is on track for its second consecutive monthly loss, reflecting broader market uncertainty. The yen strengthened against the US dollar, reaching its highest level in over a month, while the dollar weakened against major currencies, poised for its first weekly decline in two months. As cash trading resumed in Asia, Treasury yields also fell, underscoring a cautious sentiment among investors during a week typically marked by lower trading volumes due to the US Thanksgiving holiday.


Conclusion:


Recent inflation data has significantly influenced stock markets across Asia. In Japan, the yen strengthened against the US dollar, reaching its highest level in over a month after inflation figures revealed prices rising more than expected. This has led to speculation that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates in its upcoming meeting, with market pricing indicating a greater than 60% chance of this happening.

Meanwhile, in Australia, the Reserve Bank Governor highlighted that core inflation remains elevated, tempering expectations for near-term rate cuts and resulting in rising bond yields. The Australian stock market reacted cautiously to these developments. Overall, the MSCI regional equity index is on track for its second consecutive monthly loss, reflecting broader concerns about economic growth amid fluctuating inflation rates across the region. As investors navigate these dynamics, inflation data continues to shape sentiment and market movements throughout Asia.


When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange) and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and could result in capital loss.

Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice.

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